These two guys depict possible, but remote, scenarios for McCain:
Bob Krumm:
Nationwide: Going in to election day, Obama will be leading 47% to 44% with 7% undecided. McCain wins the undecided almost 5:2. Increased support from black voters in the three Ds (DC, Detroit, and the Deep South) along with gains in other reliably red states [...]
The Obama Bubble?
November 3rd, 2008 No Comments
Tags: Electoral · McCain · Obama
Election Eve Round-up
November 3rd, 2008 No Comments
So no big surprise stories over the weekend to substantially change the state of race.
I’m not one of those who subscribes to the inevitability of an Obama landslide, and I figure there are a few highly unlikely but still possible scenarios that could result in a surprise McCain win. McCain would need a combination of [...]
Last call for John McCain
October 15th, 2008 No Comments
McCain was better tonight, at least in terms of his lucidity on some issues, and he actually had one or two memorable moments. But too many of his answers were muddled, some incoherent (Obama was guilty of this too, but the difference is that he doesn’t show it), and he missed plenty of opportunities. If [...]
Republican Rage
October 15th, 2008 No Comments
A lot has been said about this new wave of “Republican Rage” that has manifested in a few people shouting unforuntate things at McCain/Palin rallies. If this is a genuine right-wing mirror of the “Angry Left” was have seen over the last 8 years, this is not good. James Taranto analyzes this kind of thing [...]
Tags: fear · McCain · Media · Obama · rage
As goes the economy, so goes McCain
October 15th, 2008 No Comments
Here’s a telling look at McCain’s economic bugbear last week:
It’s McCain’s own fault that he’s struggled to deal with our economic situation. I don’t think Obama has either with any coherence, but he doesn’t need to. He can sit this out while McCain fumbles.
Some despearate Republicans have tried to suggest that last week’s market plummet [...]
Deregulate this
October 8th, 2008 No Comments
I’ve been looking around for info on the Bush & McCain-sponsored “deregulation” on which Obama and Biden have been blaming this economic crisis.
So far I haven’t found anything. (There’s this Clinton-era law that seems to have kick-started this meme, but even Clinton said this deregulation has eased the crisis, not inflamed it.)
Googling for Bush deregulation [...]
Tags: deregulation · McCain · Obama
Pessimism rises; attacks immiment
October 8th, 2008 No Comments
A lot of low spirits out there in conservative circles about John McCain’s debate performance last night. While McCain didn’t really stumble, he just didn’t do what he needed to do: forcefully and clearly attack Obama on a number of vulnerable points, raising the issues that will define the narrative of this final month.
With the [...]
Thoughts on tonight’s debate
October 7th, 2008 No Comments
Obama has started off blaming runaway Bush/McCain free market deregulation for the current economic situation. This is has been a recurring refrain for over a week, and it appears to have worked. But is it true? I don’t recall Bush making any big deregulatory leaps; at least not in the financial sector. Didn’t the post-Enron [...]
McCain wins TV sweeps?
September 5th, 2008 No Comments
This report suggests that McCain may have unbelievably attracted more viewers for his acceptance speech than Obama did the week before. I didn’t even expect McCain to beat Palin’s huge numbers, but if this bears out, it’s amazing and contradicts all expectations.
One thing to keep in mind is that, in addition to McCain benefitting from [...]
Decent speech
September 5th, 2008 No Comments
I think McCain did what he had to: made the case for himself as the actual agent of change as opposed to Obama, and his personal story is flat-out stirring, for whatever that’s worth. He gets points from conservatives for the bits on school choice and free trade, but it seemed to me that a [...]
Tags: McCain